Kasuwar tana sa ido sosai akan Ethereum bayan wani yunkuri mai ban mamaki akan Bitcoin: Darajar musayar ETH/BTC ta haura 144% tun watan Afrilu., yayin da farashin daloli ya tashi daga shiyyar 1.300 zuwa kusan 5.000. Juyowar ta kasance tare da tsammanin rage farashin da Jerome Powell ya ba da shawara, ƙara ƙoshin abinci don kadarorin haɗari.
Baya ga farashi, alamun kasuwa da yawa sun daidaita tare da taron. A cikin abubuwan da aka tsara, Buɗaɗɗen sha'awa akan CME ya sake dawowa idan aka kwatanta da 2024 kuma manazarta na gani Alamun decoupling na wucin gadi na BTCWani abin da ya dace: dillalai har yanzu ba su yi ƙofar shiga mai ƙarfi ba, motsi wanda, a yanzu, yana rage hayaniyar tashi.
ETH vs. BTC: Abin da ke Bayan Juya Tide
Juyawa tsakanin manyan fayiloli kuma yana ƙara gardama. Wasu daga cikin manyan masu zuba jari zai rage bayyanar da BTC don ƙara matsayi a cikin ETH, wani tsari wanda ke samun amsa a cikin kwararar samfuran da aka ambata: wannan watan, Ether ETFs sun karɓa ƙarin daidaiton shigarwar idan aka kwatanta da mafi m motsi na bitcoin ETFs.
Idan abin ya tabbata, da Yiwuwar amincewar ETH ETF hannun jari zai iya ƙara ƙarin buƙatu da haɓaka tattalin arziƙin hanyar sadarwa, a cewar masana masana'antu. A cikin layi daya, Taskokin hukumomi da sun tara kusan miliyan 4 ETH, tare da Bitmine Immersion Tech yana jagorantar hanya tare da kusan miliyan 1,5.
Ko da tare da ci gaban da aka samu, kwatancen tarihi ya yi kira da a yi taka tsantsan. Don komawa zuwa babban dangi akan BTC a cikin 2017, ETH zai buƙaci ƙarin kusan 200%., mashaya da ke jadada tafiyar da ta gabata da kuma buƙatun sashe na gaba.
Farashin da fasaha: matakan maɓalli don kallo
A cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, Ethereum yana ciniki kaɗan a ƙasa da saman kwanan nan, tare da RSI (14) kusan 60, nesa da matsananciyar yanayin da aka siya kuma tare da daki don ƙarin matsa lamba na siyan. MACD (12,26) ya kasance tabbatacce, yana goyan bayan ƙwaƙƙwaran ƙwarƙwarar mutuƙar histograms ba su juya ƙasa ba.
A gefen matakan, kasuwa yana ganin juriya na gaggawa tsakanin 4.730 zuwa 4.758 daloliCin nasara da wannan rata tare da yanke hukunci zai buɗe ƙofar zuwa sabon yunƙuri akan yankin tunani na 5.000. Idan akwai gajiya, tallafi na farko yana bayyana a $ 4.675 kuma a cikin Matsakaicin motsi na kwanaki 20 kusan 4.683.
Kamar kullum, da ƙara da martani ga goyan baya/juriya zai zama hukunci. Halin da ke tattare da sararin samaniya na crypto, tare da macro da abubuwan tsari, na iya canza rubutun da sauri, don haka yana da kyau kada ku bar tsaron ku.
Ma'auni akan sarkar da ji
Sigina na cibiyar sadarwa na ciki suna ƙarfafa sautin. Alamar NUPL don masu riƙe da dogon lokaci yana da ya shiga yankin "aminci"., yankin da a tarihi ya riga ya wuce tsawon lokaci mai tsayi kafin lokutan farin ciki.
Dangantaka MVRV yana kusa da 2,08, ƙasa da kololuwar 2021 (≈3,8) da 2017 (≈6,49), yana ba da shawarar cewa, cikin sharuddan dangi, ETH har yanzu ba a shimfiɗa kamar yadda yake a cikin zagayowar baya ba.Matsanancin makada na MVRV suna sanya tunani mafi girma a kusa 5.500 daloli, matakin inda ribar da ba ta dace ba takan tsananta.
A bangaren fasaha na matsakaicin lokaci, manazarta da yawa sun ambaci gyare-gyare kamar su "megaphone" tare da manufa na 10.000, ban da kewayon cyclical tsakanin 7.000 zuwa 11.000. Waɗannan hasashe ne masu ma'ana a cikin yanayi mai kyau, kodayake bai kamata a yi la'akari da garanti ba.
Staking da masu tabbatarwa: mafi girman motsin fita
A tsarin yarjejeniya, Layin ficewar da aka yi ya wuce ETH miliyan 1, haɓaka lokutan jira zuwa kusan 18 kwana da 16 hoursBa duk wannan babban birnin ne ke zuwa ga siyarwa nan take ba, amma yana iya haifar da canji da ƙarin kuɗi idan farashin ya tsaya tsayin daka.
A cikin abubuwan da aka samo asali, buɗe sha'awa ga makomar ETH yana kusa da dala biliyan 33.000, yana nuna sha'awar cibiyoyi. Wasu kamfanoni, irin su Standard Chartered, sun sake nanata labarin cewa ETH ba shi da ƙima, yana nufin 7.500 zuwa ƙarshen shekara, yayin da kasuwannin hasashe ke ba da yiwuwar matsakaicin matsakaici ga sabon hari a yankin 5.000 a cikin gajeren lokaci.
A matsayin counterpoint, Matsakaicin adadin shiga yana kusa da 737.000 ETH (≈12 kwanaki da 19 hours). Cibiyar sadarwa ta kasance barga, tare da fiye da 1 miliyan masu inganci masu aiki da kuma wadanda 35,6 miliyan ETH staked (≈29,4% na wadata), alkalumman da ke goyan bayan juriyar ka'idar.
Wannan abun ciki don dalilai ne na bayanai kawai kuma ba ya zama shawara na kudiZuba jari a cikin cryptoassets yana ɗaukar babban haɗari; kowane mutum ya tantance halin da yake ciki ya gudanar da nasa binciken.
Tare da rare confluence na dalilai -ƙararfin dangi akan BTC, kwararar hukumomi, siginar fasaha masu inganci, da ingantattun ma'auni akan sarkar-, Ethereum yana fuskantar ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun ƙarfi: idan ya shawo kan juriya kuma yana kula da buƙata, zai iya sake gwada yankin 5.000; in ba haka ba, tallafi na kusa da yawan ruwa a cikin abubuwan da aka samo asali zai ba da umarni ga kowane numfashi.
